Skip to main content

As inflation expectations improve, Asian currency bears withdraw.

Short bets on the Thai baht fell substantially after the country's first rate hike in nearly four years, according to a Reuters poll, as bearish bets on emerging Asian currencies lessened on hopes that monetary tightening will moderate raging inflation.

As inflation expectations improve, Asian currency bears withdraw.


According to a twice-weekly survey of 12 analysts, short holdings on all developing Asian currencies decreased, with bets on the Chinese yuan reaching their lowest level since late April.


Short positions on the Singapore dollar, Indonesian rupiah, and Philippine peso all hit multi-month lows.


The first noticeable hint of comfort following consistently rising prices was an unchanged U.S. inflation print for July, which also contributed to the improvement in the region's mood.


After the Bank of Thailand (BoT) on Wednesday increased its interest rate by 25 basis points, kicking off its tightening cycle after behind regional peers, short bets on the Thai baht fell to their lowest level since early June.

.net/YwotbKdP4sVunJGfdhmgww/e8f260a6-84bf-4222-a093-e1ef14e44c00/

As tourists start to return, Thailand, which is heavily dependent on tourism, has begun to show signs of a slow economic recovery, allowing the BoT to adjust its monetary policy.


The BoT is anticipated by analysts to continue gradually normalizing policy for the remainder of the year.


The baht, one of the least shorted currencies in the survey, has increased by almost 4% since the beginning of this month and appears to be headed for a comeback.


In the first seven months of the year, the currency lost 10.2% of its value.


After the Thai central bank announced the rate increase, the majority of poll replies were received.


The Indonesian rupiah was also one of the least shorted currencies, despite calls for Bank Indonesia (BI) to raise interest rates due to growing inflation and prospects of a global recession. The country's economy is still on course for recovery.


One of the last nations in the area to continue its loose monetary policy from the epidemic era is Indonesia, the largest economy in Southeast Asia.


In a meeting later this month, analysts at Citi and OCBC anticipate BI to increase its benchmark seven-day reverse repurchase rate. Citi anticipates a 25 basis point increase.


Maybank and ANZ, on the other hand, do not anticipate the central bank rushing to tighten.


In other markets, short bets on the South Korean won, Taiwan dollar, and Indian rupee slipped to their lowest levels since April 21.


The Asian currency positioning survey focuses on the current market positions of nine Asian emerging market currencies: the Chinese yuan, South Korean won, Singapore dollar, Indonesian rupiah, Taiwan dollar, Indian rupee, Philippine peso, Malaysian ringgit, and Thai baht.


On a scale from -3 to +3, the survey uses estimates of net long or short holdings. A score of plus three means the market has a sizable long position in US dollars.


The positions held through non-deliverable forwards are included in the figures (NDFs)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Proof has raised $50 million in its Series A funding round, which was led by A16z.

Proof has shown that it has successfully closed a $50 million Series A round of funding led by Andreessen Horowitz. Proof's $50 million fundraising round, which was led by Andreessen Horowitz, has come to a successful end (a16z). During the funding process, there was also help from Seven Seven Six, True Ventures, Collab+Currency, Flamingo DAO, SV Angel, and VaynerFund. In April, Seven Seven Six put $10 million into PROOF. The company also talked about the technology that runs its Web3 platform and how it plans to grow the whole ecosystem. The company is now working on making a platform that will help NFT collectors work with communities and unlock utilities. Kevin Rose, co-founder and CEO of Proof, made the announcement, along with co-founder and Chief Product Officer Justin Mezell and Director of Product Harri Thomas. Getting money during a live-streamed event for the community. Kevin Rose said this about the fundraising: "It's great to have this vote of confidence from s...

After major averages extended their losses to start the week, stock futures continued their downward trend.

The stock market futures went in the opposite direction on Tuesday morning, falling after the Bank of Japan indicated that it will increase the yield target range. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures market experienced a loss of 236 points, or 0.72 percent. Futures contracts for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 both had a decline of 1.05% and 0.86%, respectively. On Monday, ordinary trading on the Dow Jones Industrial Average resulted in a loss of more than 162 points, or around 0.5%. The S&P 500 had a loss of 0.9%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped almost 1.5%. The stock market is currently on track to finish the month and the year with a loss, and investors' expectations for a Santa Claus surge are rapidly diminishing. There has been no sign of Santa Claus as of yet. Louis Navellier, the founder of the growth investing firm Navellier & Associates, once advised his clients to "buckle up." "One would want to think that all of the bad news has been rep...

The Sensex rises 460 points, the Bank Nifty rises 0.45%, and the Nifty closes above 18400; M&M is the largest winner.

Sensex, Nifty, and Share Prices Today LIVE: Bulls stage a comeback, snapping a two-day losing streak, as the NSE Nifty and BSE Sensex conclude higher in India. The Sensex rises 460 points, the Bank Nifty rises 0.45%, and the Nifty closes above 18400; M&M is the largest winner. Despite the market's flat opening, the Nifty rose more than 150 points to close at 18,420, exceeding 18,400. The Sensex finished the day up 0.76% at 61,806 points. When the entire market went from red to green intraday, the Nifty Junior or Nifty Next 50 gained over 1%. Nifty Auto led the industry gainers today, gaining 1.59%. The first public offering (IPO) of KFin Technologies began today with a price range of Rs. 347-366 per share and was subscribed to 0.49 times. The biggest barrier for the Nifty is 18,888." "Short covering and value buying dominated the market on awal Street, resulting in an unexpectedly strong day. With the exception of IT, all other sectoral indexes closed in the black, wi...